Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 14Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Gresford Athletic. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic?
Bangor 1876 starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,613 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor 1876 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Gresford Athletic have 4, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bala Town(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 0-5 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Caersws(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Newtown AFC(home) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Guilsfield(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Bangor 1876 win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Gresford Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2025 | Gresford Athletic 2-0 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Bangor 1876 1-0 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Gresford Athletic 1-3 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Bangor 1876 1-3 Gresford Athletic | FAW Championship |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Bangor 1876 0-3 Gresford Athletic | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Gresford Athletic vs Bangor 1876 on Feb 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor 1876 score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Gresford Athletic score 1.1 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Gresford Athletic | 1.1 | 2.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor 1876 sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Gresford Athletic sit 16th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bangor 1876 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 16 | Gresford Athletic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Gresford Athletic.
- Where and when is Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic played?
- Bangor 1876 vs Gresford Athletic is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nantporth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.