Bangor 1876 vs Holyhead Hotspur: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 18Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nantporth Stadium, Bangor
The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Holyhead Hotspur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bangor 1876 vs Holyhead Hotspur?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Bangor 1876 (1,615) and Holyhead Hotspur (1,530).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bangor 1876 have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Holyhead Hotspur have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Denbigh Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-5 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bangor 1876(home) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mold Alexandra(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brickfield Rangers(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Buckley Town(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Bangor 1876 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Holyhead Hotspur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holyhead Hotspur 2-3 Bangor 1876 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Holyhead Hotspur 0-4 Bangor 1876 | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Holyhead Hotspur vs Bangor 1876 on Aug 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bangor 1876 score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Holyhead Hotspur score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor 1876 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 1.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bangor 1876 sit 3rd in FAW Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Holyhead Hotspur sit 13th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bangor 1876 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 9 |
| 13 | Holyhead Hotspur | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bangor 1876 vs Holyhead Hotspur?
- The Footlab model makes Bangor 1876 the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Holyhead Hotspur.
- Where and when is Bangor 1876 vs Holyhead Hotspur played?
- Bangor 1876 vs Holyhead Hotspur is played on December 18, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Nantporth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.