Where and when is Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 played?

Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, Barakaldo

Barakaldo

Extremadura 1924

The Footlab model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Extremadura 1924. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Barakaldo (1,957) and Extremadura 1924 (1,995).

Barakaldo win40 %

Draw29 %

Extremadura 1924 win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barakaldo have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Extremadura 1924 have 9, 6 and 0.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Barakaldo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portugalete(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Celta de Vigo II(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Real Avilés(away)	4-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 9, 2026	Mérida AD(home)	2-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 1, 2026	Tenerife(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Extremadura 1924
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	CD Coria(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Linares Deportivo(away)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	La Unión Atlético(home)	4-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Xerez(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Recreativo Huelva(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

How many goals should we expect?

Barakaldo score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Extremadura 1924 score 1.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Barakaldo	1.3	0.9	6	5/15	5/15
Extremadura 1924	1.7	0.8	7	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Barakaldo	38	15	13	10	51	38	58

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924?: The Footlab model makes Barakaldo the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Extremadura 1924.
Where and when is Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 played?: Barakaldo vs Extremadura 1924 is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Lasesarre, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.