Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, Avilés
The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Real Avilés (1,870) and Unionistas de Salamanca (1,936).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Avilés have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Unionistas de Salamanca have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sporting Gijón II(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mosconia(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Racing Ferrol(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Racing Santander II(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cacereño(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gimnástica Segoviana(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 11, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Ávila(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Avilés win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Unionistas de Salamanca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Avilés 1-1 Unionistas de Salamanca | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Unionistas de Salamanca 3-2 Real Avilés | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Avilés score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unionistas de Salamanca score 1.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Unionistas de Salamanca | 1.2 | 1.0 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Avilés sit 14th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (44 points from 38 matches) and Unionistas de Salamanca sit 8th (56 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 56 |
| 14 | Real Avilés | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55 | 67 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca?
- The Footlab model makes Unionistas de Salamanca the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Real Avilés.
- Where and when is Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca played?
- Real Avilés vs Unionistas de Salamanca is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Suárez Puerta, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.