Match

Arenas Getxo vs Zamora: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Gobela, Getxo

Arenas GetxoZamora

The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arenas Getxo. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?

A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Arenas Getxo (1,900) and Zamora (1,974).

Arenas Getxo win34 %
Draw28 %
Zamora win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arenas Getxo have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Zamora have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Arenas Getxo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Laredo(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Eibar(away)0-5Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Zamora(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026Real Madrid II(away)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026Racing Ferrol(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Zamora
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Real Madrid II(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jun 19, 2026Sabadell(away)0-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 13, 2026Sabadell(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
Jun 7, 2026Villarreal II(home)2-0Primera División RFEF - Play Offs
May 31, 2026Villarreal II(away)0-2Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arenas Getxo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Zamora win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 23, 2026Arenas Getxo 1-0 ZamoraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Jan 4, 2026Zamora 1-0 Arenas GetxoPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Arenas Getxo vs Zamora on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Arenas Getxo score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Zamora score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Arenas Getxo1.21.738/157/15
Zamora1.41.166/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Arenas Getxo sit 11th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (52 points from 38 matches) and Zamora sit 3rd (61 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zamora38171011534261
11Arenas Getxo3815716465552

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Arenas Getxo vs Zamora?
The Footlab model makes Zamora the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Arenas Getxo.
Where and when is Arenas Getxo vs Zamora played?
Arenas Getxo vs Zamora is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Gobela, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Arenas Getxo and Zamora

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