Match

Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, Pontevedra

PontevedraAthletic Club II

The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II?

A very open match: only 90 Elo points separate Pontevedra (1,988) and Athletic Club II (1,897).

Pontevedra win57 %
Draw26 %
Athletic Club II win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontevedra have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Athletic Club II have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontevedra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Coruxo(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Ourense CF(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Estradense(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Arosa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Athletic Club II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Laredo(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Amorebieta(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Cultural Leonesa(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Sestao River(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026Ponferradina(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pontevedra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Athletic Club II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026Pontevedra 4-0 Athletic Club IIPrimera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 20, 2025Athletic Club II 1-0 PontevedraPrimera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontevedra score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club II score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontevedra1.91.349/1511/15
Athletic Club II1.11.156/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontevedra sit 6th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (58 points from 38 matches) and Athletic Club II sit 13th (49 points from 38 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Pontevedra3814168493158
13Athletic Club II38131015384649

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II?
The Footlab model makes Pontevedra the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Athletic Club II.
Where and when is Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II played?
Pontevedra vs Athletic Club II is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Pasarón, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pontevedra and Athletic Club II

Ready to know everything about football?