Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión played?

Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 3Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de A Malata, Ferrol

Racing Ferrol

Real Unión

The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Racing Ferrol. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?

Real Unión starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,831).

Racing Ferrol win31 %

Draw29 %

Real Unión win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Racing Ferrol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Real Unión have 10, 2 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Racing Ferrol
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 13, 2026	Real Avilés(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Real Madrid II(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 23, 2026	Unionistas de Salamanca(away)	2-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 17, 2026	Osasuna II(home)	0-0	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
May 8, 2026	Arenas Getxo(away)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Real Unión
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Eibar(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	PAU(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Alfaro(home)	2-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Real Zaragoza II(away)	1-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 18, 2026	Amorebieta(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Racing Ferrol win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Real Unión win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 12, 2022	Racing Ferrol 2-1 Real Unión	Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Dec 11, 2021	Real Unión 0-3 Racing Ferrol	Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión on Mar 12, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Racing Ferrol score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Unión score 2.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Racing Ferrol	1.0	1.5	4	9/15	7/15
Real Unión	2.3	1.5	4	10/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Racing Ferrol	38	13	10	15	41	47	49

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión?: The Footlab model makes Real Unión the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Racing Ferrol.
Where and when is Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión played?: Racing Ferrol vs Real Unión is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de A Malata, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.