Match

UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, Logroño

UD LogroñésBarakaldo

The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo. The most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo?

UD Logroñés starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,047 vs 1,900).

60%24%16%
UD Logroñés winDrawBarakaldo win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

UD Logroñés

4-3-3
  1. 21Ismael Santana
  2. 11Marcos Baselga
  3. 19I. Asenjo
  1. 14David Navarro
  2. 20Anai Morales
  3. 6Mario Maroto
  1. 3Sergio Camacho
  2. 5A. Alvarez
  3. 4Eduardo Cabetas
  4. 22Carlos García-Die
  1. 13Fermín Sobrón

Barakaldo

4-3-3
  1. 19Ángel Troncho
  2. 20Okolo
  3. 11Carlos Mattheus
  1. 8Julen Huidobro
  2. 15I. Jimenez
  3. 21X. Fernandez
  1. 17Pablo Trigueros
  2. 3Ander Zoilo
  3. 5Aritz Muguruza
  4. 4O. Marotias
  1. 13Gaizka Campos

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:11 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UD Logroñés have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Barakaldo have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UD Logroñés
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026Lugo(away)1-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 4, 2026Deportivo La Coruña II(home)2-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Mérida AD(away)5-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 18, 2026Pontevedra(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 12, 2026UD Ourense(away)3-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026UD Ourense(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Oct 3, 2026Arenas Getxo(home)1-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 27, 2026Real Avilés(home)3-3Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 19, 2026Racing Ferrol(away)0-1Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Sep 11, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)1-0Primera División RFEF - Group 1

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 UD Logroñés win, 2 draws, 0 Barakaldo wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 17, 2024UD Logroñés 0-0 BarakaldoSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 5, 2023Barakaldo 1-1 UD LogroñésSegunda División RFEF - Group 2
Dec 22, 2019Barakaldo 0-1 UD LogroñésPrimera División RFEF - Group 2

Last archived meeting: UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo on Mar 17, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

UD Logroñés score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Barakaldo score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UD Logroñés2.10.969/1510/15
Barakaldo1.11.246/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UD Logroñés sit 1st in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (16 points from 6 matches) and Barakaldo sit 17th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1UD Logroñés651015716
17Barakaldo71336106

A question about UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo?
The Footlab AI model makes UD Logroñés the favourite at 60%, against 24% for a draw and 16% for Barakaldo.
Where and when is UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo played?
UD Logroñés vs Barakaldo is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Municipal Las Gaunas, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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