St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe: result 3-0 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on October 2, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Darren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Full time
What was the result of St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
St. Lucia won 3-0 on October 2, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′C. ElvaSt. Lucia (pen.)
- 35′Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-BoydSt. Lucia
- 57′D. PhillipSt. Lucia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Guadeloupe win at 48%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
St. Lucia
4-2-3-1- 10Keegan Caull
- 9D. Phillip
- 14C. Elva
- 19S. Byron
- 2kurt frederick
- 6M. Doxilly
- 18shaquan nelson
- 4Terell Thomas
- 5Doneal lionel
- 11Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 1V. Barclett
Guadeloupe
4-2-3-1- 19Luidgi Mausse
- 10Djamalee Boisne
- 8A. Plumain
- 18Dwen Capraja
- 6Willis Francillonne
- 17Kendy Giblaca
- 3Bryan Danavin Tafna
- 13Meddy Cysique
- 5Yonel Raddas
- 2Mickaël Alphonse
- 23D. Rouyard
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Lucia have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Guadeloupe have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 5-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-6 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 16, 2025 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Series |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Cuba(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 2026 | Barbados(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bermuda(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Guatemala(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Jamaica(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Panama(away) | 2-5 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 St. Lucia win, 0 draws, 1 Guadeloupe win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2023 | Guadeloupe 2-0 St. Lucia | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | St. Lucia 2-1 Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League |
Last archived meeting: Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia on Oct 15, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
St. Lucia score 1.3 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Guadeloupe score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 1.3 | 2.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Guadeloupe | 1.7 | 1.1 | 8 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy