St. Lucia vs Bermuda: result 5-2 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Darren Sammy Cricket Ground, Gros Islet
Full time
What was the result of St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
St. Lucia won 5-2 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 15′?St. Lucia
- 18′?St. Lucia
- 35′?St. Lucia
- 45′?Bermuda
- 53′S. ByronSt. Lucia
- 68′?St. Lucia
- 70′?Bermuda
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bermuda win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 5-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for St. Lucia vs Bermuda
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
St. Lucia
4-2-3-1- 10Keegan Caull
- 19S. Byron
- 14C. Elva
- 12Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6M. Doxilly
- 2kurt frederick
- 18shaquan nelson
- 4Terell Thomas
- 5Doneal lionel
- 3Ajani Jouis
- 1V. Barclett
Bermuda
4-4-2- 9Tokia russell
- 21N. Wells
- 22J. Donawa
- 5Jai ne tucker
- 10Z. Lewis
- 19Ajani·Burchall
- 11D. Hill
- 17Harry twite
- 2Emeer Peets
- 14Brighton Morrison
- 1milai perott
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Lucia have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Bermuda have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-6 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 16, 2025 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Series |
| Nov 12, 2025 | Cuba(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Series |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Barbados(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Guadeloupe(home) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Congo DR(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Curaçao(home) | 0-7 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
St. Lucia score 1.0 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bermuda score 1.2 and concede 3.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Lucia | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Bermuda | 1.2 | 3.0 | 1 | 7/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St. Lucia vs Bermuda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy