Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia: result 0-1 and analysis
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 2Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
St. Lucia won 0-1 on October 5, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 5′?St. Lucia
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a St. Lucia win at 59%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 0-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Guadeloupe
4-2-3-1- 11Jonathan Gamby
- 10Djamalee Boisne
- 8A. Plumain
- 7Mathis Citronnelle
- 17Kendy Giblaca
- 2Mickaël Alphonse
- 21Fabien Geran
- 4Kenjy montantin
- 5Yonel Raddas
- 22Sulyvan Darase
- 23D. Rouyard
St. Lucia
4-2-3-1- 10Keegan Caull
- 9D. Phillip
- 14C. Elva
- 11Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 2kurt frederick
- 21gregson president
- 18shaquan nelson
- 4Terell Thomas
- 5Doneal lionel
- 3Ajani Jouis
- 1V. Barclett
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guadeloupe have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; St. Lucia have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | St. Lucia(away) | 0-3 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 28, 2026 | Barbados(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bermuda(away) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Guatemala(home) | 2-3 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Jamaica(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Gold Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Guadeloupe(home) | 3-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Bermuda(home) | 5-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 0-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Azerbaijan(away) | 1-6 | FIFA Series |
| Nov 16, 2025 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 1-3 | CONCACAF Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Guadeloupe win, 0 draws, 2 St. Lucia wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | St. Lucia 3-0 Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Guadeloupe 2-0 St. Lucia | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | St. Lucia 2-1 Guadeloupe | CONCACAF Nations League |
Last archived meeting: St. Lucia vs Guadeloupe on Oct 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guadeloupe score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; St. Lucia score 1.4 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadeloupe | 1.6 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| St. Lucia | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Guadeloupe vs St. Lucia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy