Barcelona vs Real Sociedad: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Camp Nou, Barcelona
The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Real Sociedad. The most likely score is 3-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,621 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?
Barcelona starts as the favourite with a 281-point Elo edge (2,414 vs 2,133).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barcelona vs Real Sociedad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barcelona
4-3-3- 10Lamine Yamal
- 11Raphinha
- 17A. Gordon
- 8Pedri
- 16Rodri
- 7Fermín López
- 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
- 2João Cancelo
- 18Gerard Martín
- 4B. Farinas
- 1Joan García
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 7Barrenetxea
- 18Carlos Soler
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 6Jon Martín
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barcelona have 13 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Real Sociedad have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 6-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Madrid(home) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(away) | 2-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Barcelona wins, 0 draws, 2 Real Sociedad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Real Sociedad 2-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Barcelona 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Barcelona | La Liga |
| May 13, 2024 | Barcelona 2-0 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Barcelona on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barcelona score 4.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 4.0 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 14/15 |
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barcelona sit 1st in La Liga (30 points from 11 matches) and Real Sociedad sit 5th (19 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | 30 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
A question about Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Barcelona the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Real Sociedad.
- Where and when is Barcelona vs Real Sociedad played?
- Barcelona vs Real Sociedad is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Camp Nou, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.