Osasuna vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Sadar, Iruñea
The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Villarreal. The most likely score is 1-1. If Osasuna wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osasuna vs Villarreal?
On Elo ratings, Osasuna has 2,037 points and Villarreal 2,155.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Osasuna vs Villarreal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Osasuna
4-3-3- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 18Raul Moro
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 22F. Boyomo
- 19V. Rosier
- 1Sergio Herrera
Villarreal
4-4-2- 7Gerard Moreno
- 22Ayoze Pérez
- 16C. Macia
- 17T. Buchanan
- 14Santi Comesaña
- 10Alberto Moleiro
- 15S. Mouriño
- 12Renato Veiga
- 23Sergi Cardona
- 6Pau Navarro
- 25P. Gulácsi
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osasuna have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Villarreal have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atletico Calatayud(away) | 6-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 0-6 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Espanyol(home) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Manacor(away) | 5-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Valencia(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-4 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Osasuna wins, 3 draws, 3 Villarreal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Villarreal 2-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| May 3, 2025 | Villarreal 4-2 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Osasuna 2-2 Villarreal | La Liga |
| May 25, 2024 | Osasuna 1-1 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Nov 26, 2023 | Villarreal 3-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Osasuna vs Villarreal on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Osasuna score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osasuna | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Villarreal | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osasuna sit 15th in La Liga (11 points from 11 matches) and Villarreal sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Osasuna vs Villarreal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osasuna vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Osasuna the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Villarreal.
- Where and when is Osasuna vs Villarreal played?
- Osasuna vs Villarreal is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Sadar, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.