Sevilla vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sevilla wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Racing Santander?
On Elo ratings, Sevilla has 2,063 points and Racing Santander 2,038.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sevilla vs Racing Santander
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sevilla
4-2-3-1- 9R. Ure
- 6L. Agoumé
- 24Y. Fofana
- 20Félix Correia
- 8G. Kochorashvili
- 30Miguel Ángel
- 5Andrés Castrín
- 17G. Suazo
- 2Juan Iglesias
- 4Kike Salas
- 1O. Vlachodimos
Racing Santander
4-1-4-1- 21M. Zabiri
- 10Iñigo Vicente
- 23Iván Martín
- 20Sergio Canales
- 18M. Prati
- 8André Almeida
- 2Álvaro Mantilla
- 17Jorge Salinas
- 5Pablo Ramón
- 24J. Belocian
- 13Julen Agirrezabala
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Racing Santander have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Levante(away) | 3-3 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-3 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 1-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Valencia(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Celta Vigo(away) | 0-5 | La Liga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Barcelona(away) | 2-7 | La Liga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 2-3 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sevilla win, 2 draws, 1 Racing Santander win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Sevilla 2-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Feb 12, 2011 | Racing Santander 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2010 | Sevilla 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Sevilla on Mar 22, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.5 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 5th in La Liga (14 points from 8 matches) and Racing Santander sit 15th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
| 15 | Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 8 |
A question about Sevilla vs Racing Santander?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sevilla the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Racing Santander played?
- Sevilla vs Racing Santander is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.