Sevilla vs Racing Santander: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
The Footlab model makes Sevilla the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sevilla vs Racing Santander?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Sevilla (2,057) and Racing Santander (2,054).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Racing Santander have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Utrecht(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Getafe(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Alaves(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wolves(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sevilla win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Racing Santander win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2012 | Racing Santander 0-3 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2011 | Sevilla 2-2 Racing Santander | La Liga |
| Feb 12, 2011 | Racing Santander 3-2 Sevilla | La Liga |
| Sep 23, 2010 | Sevilla 1-1 Racing Santander | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Racing Santander vs Sevilla on Mar 22, 2012
How many goals should we expect?
Sevilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Racing Santander score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Racing Santander | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sevilla sit 1st in La Liga (6 points from 2 matches) and Racing Santander sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sevilla | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Santander | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sevilla vs Racing Santander?
- The Footlab model makes Sevilla the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Racing Santander.
- Where and when is Sevilla vs Racing Santander played?
- Sevilla vs Racing Santander is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.