Real Sociedad vs Osasuna: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Osasuna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Sociedad wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?
Real Sociedad starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (2,150 vs 2,035).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Real Sociedad vs Osasuna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Real Sociedad
4-4-2- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 24L. Sučić
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
- 11Gonçalo Guedes
- 7Barrenetxea
- 18Carlos Soler
- 19M. Sarr
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 6Jon Martín
- 2J. Aramburu
- 1Álex Remiro
Osasuna
4-3-3- 17A. Budimir
- 21Jonathan Dubasin
- 18Raul Moro
- 7Moncayola
- 16Moi Gómez
- 8Iker Muñoz
- 24Catena
- 23Abel Bretones
- 22F. Boyomo
- 19V. Rosier
- 1Sergio Herrera
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:52 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Osasuna have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Levante(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 5-2 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Atletico Calatayud(away) | 6-0 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Sevilla(away) | 0-2 | La Liga |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Racing Santander(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-5 | La Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Real Sociedad wins, 1 draw, 1 Osasuna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad 3-1 Osasuna | La Liga |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Real Sociedad 2-2 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Osasuna 1-3 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Oct 9, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-0 Osasuna | Copa del Rey |
| Feb 2, 2025 | Osasuna 2-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad vs Osasuna on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Osasuna score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Osasuna | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 5th in La Liga (19 points from 11 matches) and Osasuna sit 15th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 11 |
A question about Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Osasuna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Osasuna.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Osasuna played?
- Real Sociedad vs Osasuna is played on January 3, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.