Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia: prediction and stats
Liga Profesional ArgentinaClausura - 10Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Claudio Fabián Tapia, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Barracas Central. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
Independ. Rivadavia starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,827).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barracas Central have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Independ. Rivadavia have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rosario Central(home) | 0-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia L.P.(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Riestra(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Aldosivi(home) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 25, 2026 | River Plate(away) | 1-0 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fluminense(home) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Belgrano Cordoba(away) | 0-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto(home) | 2-1 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sarmiento Junin(away) | 1-2 | Liga Profesional Argentina |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barracas Central win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Independ. Rivadavia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia 1-2 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Barracas Central 0-3 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Independ. Rivadavia 0-0 Barracas Central | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Barracas Central 1-1 Independ. Rivadavia | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Independ. Rivadavia 1-3 Barracas Central | Copa de la Liga Profesional |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Barracas Central 1-3 Independ. Rivadavia | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Independ. Rivadavia vs Barracas Central on Mar 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Barracas Central score 0.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Independ. Rivadavia score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 0.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Independ. Rivadavia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barracas Central sit 9th in Liga Profesional Argentina (21 points from 16 matches) and Independ. Rivadavia sit 1st (34 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Barracas Central | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 21 |
| 10 | Independ. Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia?
- The Footlab model makes Independ. Rivadavia the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Barracas Central.
- Where and when is Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia played?
- Barracas Central vs Independ. Rivadavia is played on September 20, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Claudio Fabián Tapia, in the Liga Profesional Argentina.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 20, 2026Gimnasia L.P.vsBanfield
- Sep 20, 2026River PlatevsHuracan
- Sep 20, 2026Racing ClubvsSarmiento Junin
- Sep 20, 2026Rosario CentralvsArgentinos JRS
- Sep 20, 2026Velez SarsfieldvsTigre
- Sep 20, 2026Belgrano CordobavsEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- Sep 20, 2026Union Santa FevsIndependiente
- Sep 20, 2026LanusvsEstudiantes L.P.