Barry Town vs Airbus UK: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jenner Park, Barry / Y Barri, Vale of Glamorgan
The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Airbus UK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barry Town vs Airbus UK?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Barry Town (1,968) and Airbus UK (1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barry Town have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Airbus UK have 12, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Gloucester City(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Colwyn Bay(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cardiff MET(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Barry Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Airbus UK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2019 | Barry Town 2-0 Airbus UK | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Airbus UK 0-1 Barry Town | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Barry Town vs Airbus UK on Oct 26, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Barry Town score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Airbus UK score 2.9 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | 1.9 | 0.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Airbus UK | 2.9 | 0.6 | 9 | 4/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barry Town sit 1st in Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Airbus UK sit 11th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barry Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 12 |
| 11 | Airbus UK | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barry Town vs Airbus UK?
- The Footlab model makes Barry Town the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Airbus UK.
- Where and when is Barry Town vs Airbus UK played?
- Barry Town vs Airbus UK is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jenner Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.