Penybont vs Flint Town United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)SDM Glass Stadium, Bridgend, Bridgend County Borough
The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Flint Town United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Penybont starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Penybont have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Flint Town United have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Llandudno(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | FC Santa Coloma(away) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Briton Ferry(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Barry Town(home) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llandudno(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Penybont win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Flint Town United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Penybont 0-0 Flint Town United | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Flint Town United 3-4 Penybont | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Penybont 5-0 Flint Town United | Premier League |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Penybont 3-1 Flint Town United | Premier League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Flint Town United 0-1 Penybont | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Flint Town United 1-1 Penybont | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Penybont vs Flint Town United on Dec 13, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Penybont score 0.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Flint Town United score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penybont | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Flint Town United | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Penybont sit 3rd in Premier League (10 points from 4 matches) and Flint Town United sit 13th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Penybont | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Penybont vs Flint Town United?
- The Footlab model makes Penybont the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Flint Town United.
- Where and when is Penybont vs Flint Town United played?
- Penybont vs Flint Town United is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at SDM Glass Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.