Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, Caerdydd
The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff MET. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Cardiff MET (1,803) and Briton Ferry (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cardiff MET have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Briton Ferry have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | The New Saints(home) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Barry Town(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Airbus UK(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holywell(home) | 6-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Flint Town United(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Flint Town United(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cardiff MET win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Briton Ferry win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Briton Ferry 3-1 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Cardiff MET 0-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Cardiff MET 2-2 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Briton Ferry 1-1 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Cardiff MET 1-3 Briton Ferry | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Briton Ferry 1-5 Cardiff MET | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Briton Ferry vs Cardiff MET on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cardiff MET score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Briton Ferry score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff MET | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Briton Ferry | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cardiff MET sit 10th in Premier League (6 points from 4 matches) and Briton Ferry sit 8th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 10 | Cardiff MET | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?
- The Footlab model makes Briton Ferry the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Cardiff MET.
- Where and when is Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry played?
- Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry is played on August 28, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.