Berkhamsted vs Evesham United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Broadwater, Berkhamsted, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Evesham United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Berkhamsted vs Evesham United?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Berkhamsted have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Evesham United have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chichester City(home) | 3-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Frome Town(home) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 4-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bishop's Cleeve(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Berkhamsted win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Evesham United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Evesham United 0-2 Berkhamsted | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Oct 14, 2025 | Berkhamsted 3-1 Evesham United | Non League Premier - Southern South |
Last archived meeting: Evesham United vs Berkhamsted on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Evesham United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Evesham United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Berkhamsted sit 20th in Non League Premier - Southern South (3 points from 4 matches) and Evesham United sit 12th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Evesham United | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Berkhamsted vs Evesham United?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Evesham United.
- Where and when is Berkhamsted vs Evesham United played?
- Berkhamsted vs Evesham United is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Broadwater, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Taunton TownvsGosport Borough
- Nov 28, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGloucester City
- Nov 28, 2026Bracknell TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 28, 2026Chichester CityvsUxbridge
- Nov 28, 2026Hanwell TownvsFrome Town
- Nov 28, 2026Poole TownvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 28, 2026Yate TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 28, 2026Chippenham TownvsBath City