Chippenham Town vs Bath City: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Hardenhuish Park, Chippenham, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Chippenham Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chippenham Town vs Bath City?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Chippenham Town (1,686) and Bath City (1,690).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chippenham Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Bath City have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chichester City(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Yate Town(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Uxbridge(away) | 0-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chippenham Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bath City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bath City 1-0 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Chippenham Town 3-2 Bath City | National League - South |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Bath City 0-1 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Chippenham Town 0-3 Bath City | National League - South |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Bath City 0-0 Chippenham Town | National League - South |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Chippenham Town 1-2 Bath City | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Bath City vs Chippenham Town on Apr 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chippenham Town score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Bath City score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippenham Town | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Bath City | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chippenham Town sit 18th in Non League Premier - Southern South (4 points from 4 matches) and Bath City sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 18 | Chippenham Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chippenham Town vs Bath City?
- The Footlab model makes Chippenham Town the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Chippenham Town vs Bath City played?
- Chippenham Town vs Bath City is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Hardenhuish Park, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Taunton TownvsGosport Borough
- Nov 28, 2026BerkhamstedvsEvesham United
- Nov 28, 2026Basingstoke TownvsGloucester City
- Nov 28, 2026Bracknell TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 28, 2026Chichester CityvsUxbridge
- Nov 28, 2026Hanwell TownvsFrome Town
- Nov 28, 2026Poole TownvsHavant & Wville
- Nov 28, 2026Yate TownvsHanworth Villa