Gomel II vs Slonim: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Slonim the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Gomel II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gomel II vs Slonim?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Gomel II (1,282) and Slonim (1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gomel II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Slonim have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Volna(home) | 3-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Smorgon(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Minsk II(home) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 0-2 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gomel II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Slonim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Slonim 3-1 Gomel II | 1. Division |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Gomel II 1-0 Slonim | 1. Division |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Slonim 1-0 Gomel II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Slonim score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Slonim | 2.1 | 1.6 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gomel II sit 16th in 1. Division (20 points from 21 matches) and Slonim sit 5th (36 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slonim | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 23 |
| 5 | Slonim | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 36 |
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gomel II vs Slonim?
- The Footlab model makes Slonim the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Gomel II.
- Where and when is Gomel II vs Slonim played?
- Gomel II vs Slonim is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.