Bath City vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bath City vs Berkhamsted?
Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Basingstoke Town(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hanworth Villa(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Plymouth Parkway(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sholing(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poole Town(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Taunton Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chertsey Town(away) | 1-4 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Southern South |
How many goals should we expect?
Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bath City | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Berkhamsted | 1.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bath City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 20 | Berkhamsted | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Berkhamsted?
- The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City.
- Where and when is Bath City vs Berkhamsted played?
- Bath City vs Berkhamsted is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026Havant & WvillevsYate Town
- Nov 14, 2026Frome TownvsHanworth Villa
- Nov 14, 2026Basingstoke TownvsChippenham Town
- Nov 14, 2026Bracknell TownvsUxbridge
- Nov 14, 2026Chertsey TownvsWimborne Town
- Nov 14, 2026Evesham UnitedvsGosport Borough
- Nov 14, 2026Hanwell TownvsPlymouth Parkway
- Nov 14, 2026Poole TownvsTaunton Town