Match

Bath City vs Berkhamsted: prediction and stats

Non League Premier - Southern SouthRegular Season - 19Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Twerton Park Stadium, Bath, Somerset

Bath CityBerkhamsted

The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bath City vs Berkhamsted?

Berkhamsted starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,818 vs 1,705).

Bath City win34 %
Draw25 %
Berkhamsted win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bath City have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Berkhamsted have 9, 0 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bath City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Basingstoke Town(away)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Hanworth Villa(home)1-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Plymouth Parkway(home)1-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Sholing(away)2-1Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 1, 2026Farnborough(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Berkhamsted
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Poole Town(home)2-3Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 15, 2026Taunton Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 11, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-4Non League Premier - Southern South
Aug 8, 2026Havant & Wville(home)2-0Non League Premier - Southern South
Apr 29, 2026Farnham Town(away)1-2Non League Premier - Southern South

How many goals should we expect?

Bath City score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Berkhamsted score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bath City1.31.929/1510/15
Berkhamsted1.71.368/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bath City sit 6th in Non League Premier - Southern South (7 points from 4 matches) and Berkhamsted sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bath City4211437
20Berkhamsted4103693

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bath City vs Berkhamsted?
The Footlab model makes Berkhamsted the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Bath City.
Where and when is Bath City vs Berkhamsted played?
Bath City vs Berkhamsted is played on November 14, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Twerton Park Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Southern South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bath City and Berkhamsted

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