Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, Jonava
The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kauno Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
Be1 NFA starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,382 vs 1,174).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Be1 NFA have 9 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats; Kauno Žalgiris II have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Minija(away) | 0-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | BFA(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Be1 NFA win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Kauno Žalgiris II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-4 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Be1 NFA 1-1 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Be1 NFA 2-0 Kauno Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-2 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Kauno Žalgiris II 0-1 Be1 NFA | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Kauno Žalgiris II vs Be1 NFA on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Be1 NFA score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kauno Žalgiris II score 0.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Be1 NFA | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Kauno Žalgiris II | 0.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Be1 NFA sit 4th in 1 Lyga (38 points from 20 matches) and Kauno Žalgiris II sit 15th (13 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Be1 NFA | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 33 | 24 | 38 |
| 15 | Kauno Žalgiris II | 20 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 34 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II?
- The Footlab model makes Be1 NFA the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Kauno Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II played?
- Be1 NFA vs Kauno Žalgiris II is played on September 4, 2026 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Jonavos dirbtinės dangos stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.