Atmosfera vs Tauras: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Mažeikių stadionas dirbtinė danga, Mažeikiai
The Footlab model makes Tauras the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Atmosfera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atmosfera vs Tauras?
Tauras starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,474 vs 1,365).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atmosfera have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Tauras have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Transinvest 2(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hegelmann II(home) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Babrungas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 4-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Atmosfera win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Tauras win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Tauras 2-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Tauras 0-0 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
| May 31, 2025 | Atmosfera 1-1 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Atmosfera 1-2 Tauras | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Tauras 2-1 Atmosfera | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Atmosfera score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tauras score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atmosfera | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Tauras | 1.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atmosfera sit 9th in 1 Lyga (26 points from 20 matches) and Tauras sit 3rd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tauras | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 23 | 39 |
| 9 | Atmosfera | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atmosfera vs Tauras?
- The Footlab model makes Tauras the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Atmosfera.
- Where and when is Atmosfera vs Tauras played?
- Atmosfera vs Tauras is played on September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Mažeikių stadionas dirbtinė danga, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.