Hegelmann II vs FA Šiauliai II: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hegelmann II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FA Šiauliai II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hegelmann II vs FA Šiauliai II?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Hegelmann II (1,197) and FA Šiauliai II (1,195).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hegelmann II have 4 wins, 0 draws and 11 defeats; FA Šiauliai II have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ekranas(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Be1 NFA(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Garliava(home) | 3-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Minija(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Jonava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atmosfera(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BFA(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(away) | 1-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Hegelmann II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 FA Šiauliai II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II 2-0 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Hegelmann II 0-2 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| May 9, 2025 | FA Šiauliai II 1-1 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Hegelmann II 4-0 FA Šiauliai II | 1 Lyga |
| May 5, 2024 | FA Šiauliai II 4-1 Hegelmann II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: FA Šiauliai II vs Hegelmann II on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hegelmann II score 1.2 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; FA Šiauliai II score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann II | 1.2 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| FA Šiauliai II | 1.0 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hegelmann II sit 12th in 1 Lyga (19 points from 21 matches) and FA Šiauliai II sit 14th (14 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hegelmann II | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | 19 |
| 14 | FA Šiauliai II | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 45 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hegelmann II vs FA Šiauliai II?
- The Footlab model makes Hegelmann II the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for FA Šiauliai II.
- Where and when is Hegelmann II vs FA Šiauliai II played?
- Hegelmann II vs FA Šiauliai II is played on September 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.