Minija vs Transinvest 2: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, Kretinga
The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Transinvest 2. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Minija vs Transinvest 2?
Minija starts as the favourite with a 256-point Elo edge (1,494 vs 1,239).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Minija have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Transinvest 2 have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 5-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Be1 NFA(home) | 3-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Žalgiris II(away) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Jonava(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atmosfera(home) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | BFA(away) | 2-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dainava(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda(home) | 2-2 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Minija win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Transinvest 2 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Transinvest 2 1-7 Minija | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Transinvest 2 vs Minija on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Minija score 2.2 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Transinvest 2 score 0.8 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minija | 2.2 | 0.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Transinvest 2 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Minija sit 1st in 1 Lyga (52 points from 20 matches) and Transinvest 2 sit 13th (18 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minija | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 11 | 52 |
| 13 | Transinvest 2 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 46 | 18 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Minija vs Transinvest 2?
- The Footlab model makes Minija the favourite at 84%, against 12% for a draw and 5% for Transinvest 2.
- Where and when is Minija vs Transinvest 2 played?
- Minija vs Transinvest 2 is played on September 5, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Kretingos dirbtinės dangos aikštė, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.