Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 23Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Vilniaus LFF stadionas, Vilnius
The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Žalgiris II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
Neptūną Klaipėda starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,462 vs 1,324).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Žalgiris II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Neptūną Klaipėda have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(away) | 4-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ekranas(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Minija(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Hegelmann II(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | BFA(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Babrungas(home) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tauras(away) | 2-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Garliava(away) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FA Šiauliai II(home) | 2-1 | 1 Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Žalgiris II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Neptūną Klaipėda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-1 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Žalgiris II 3-3 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Žalgiris II 1-4 Neptūną Klaipėda | 1 Lyga |
| Apr 21, 2023 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-0 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
| Jul 10, 2022 | Neptūną Klaipėda 2-2 Žalgiris II | 1 Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Neptūną Klaipėda vs Žalgiris II on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Žalgiris II score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Neptūną Klaipėda score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Žalgiris II | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Neptūną Klaipėda | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Žalgiris II sit 8th in 1 Lyga (31 points from 20 matches) and Neptūną Klaipėda sit 5th (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Neptūną Klaipėda | 21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 38 |
| 8 | Žalgiris II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda?
- The Footlab model makes Neptūną Klaipėda the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Žalgiris II.
- Where and when is Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda played?
- Žalgiris II vs Neptūną Klaipėda is played on September 7, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Vilniaus LFF stadionas, in the 1 Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.