Match

Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The New Eyrie, Cardington, Bedfordshire

Bedford TownHednesford Town

The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Bedford Town (1,767) and Hednesford Town (1,858).

Bedford Town win33 %
Draw25 %
Hednesford Town win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bedford Town have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Hednesford Town have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bedford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Southport(away)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Buxton(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Darlington 1883(home)2-3National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Oxford City(away)0-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Kettering Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Hednesford Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026AFC Telford United(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Southport(home)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Scarborough Athletic(home)3-4National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Merthyr Town(away)0-2National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Boston United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Bedford Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hednesford Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 7, 2023Bedford Town 1-3 Hednesford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central
Aug 27, 2022Hednesford Town 1-2 Bedford TownNon League Premier - Southern Central

Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town on Jan 7, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hednesford Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bedford Town1.21.538/157/15
Hednesford Town1.71.358/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bedford Town sit 20th in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Hednesford Town sit 23rd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
20Bedford Town4103593
23Hednesford Town4022692

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town?
The Footlab model makes Hednesford Town the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bedford Town.
Where and when is Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town played?
Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The New Eyrie, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bedford Town and Hednesford Town

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