Chester vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,846 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Marine?
On Elo ratings, Chester has 1,924 points and Marine 1,875.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chester vs Marine
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chester
4-3-3- 9J. Hazel
- 11B. Waters
- 17C. Woods
- 12D. Ward
- 24C. Murphy
- 4D. Weeks
- 3Nathan Woodthorpe
- 5J. Griffin
- 33Samuel Reed
- 15Isaac Burgess
- 1Luke Hewitson
Marine
Not enough data to predict the Marine lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Marine have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Worksop Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lower Breck(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Buxton(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hartlepool(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester wins, 1 draw, 2 Marine wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Marine 2-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Chester 1-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chester 2-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Marine 2-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Chester 0-1 Marine | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Marine 0-4 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 5th in National League - North (20 points from 11 matches) and Marine sit 16th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chester | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 20 |
| 16 | Marine | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 15 |
A question about Chester vs Marine?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Marine?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chester the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Marine.
- Where and when is Chester vs Marine played?
- Chester vs Marine is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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