Chester vs Marine: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Marine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Marine?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Marine have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Macclesfield(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bootle(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chester win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Marine 2-1 Chester | National League - North |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Chester 1-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Apr 21, 2025 | Chester 2-1 Marine | National League - North |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Marine 2-3 Chester | National League - North |
| Oct 24, 2020 | Chester 0-1 Marine | FA Cup |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Marine 0-4 Chester | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Marine score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Marine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Marine sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 18 | Marine | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Marine?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Marine.
- Where and when is Chester vs Marine played?
- Chester vs Marine is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 27, 2026Oxford CityvsMerthyr Town
- Oct 27, 2026HerefordvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 27, 2026Spennymoor TownvsSouth Shields
- Oct 27, 2026Worksop TownvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 27, 2026Bedford TownvsHednesford Town
- Oct 27, 2026Spalding UnitedvsBrackley Town