Match

Spennymoor Town vs South Shields: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Brewery Field, Spennymoor, County Durham

Spennymoor TownSouth Shields

The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Spennymoor Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?

South Shields starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (1,937 vs 1,802).

Spennymoor Town win20 %
Draw24 %
South Shields win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spennymoor Town have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Spennymoor Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Oxford City(home)1-4National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)0-3National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Merthyr Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Morecambe(away)1-1National League - North
Aug 1, 2026Gateshead(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
South Shields
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Merthyr Town(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Morecambe(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Chorley(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Scarborough Athletic(away)1-0National League - North
Jul 28, 2026Gateshead(away)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Spennymoor Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 South Shields win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 3, 2026Spennymoor Town 1-1 South ShieldsNational League - North
Dec 26, 2025South Shields 6-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Apr 21, 2025South Shields 0-2 Spennymoor TownNational League - North
Dec 26, 2024Spennymoor Town 1-1 South ShieldsNational League - North
Nov 16, 2024Spennymoor Town 2-1 South ShieldsFA Trophy
Mar 29, 2024South Shields 2-0 Spennymoor TownNational League - North

Last archived meeting: Spennymoor Town vs South Shields on Apr 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Spennymoor Town1.21.4210/158/15
South Shields1.70.948/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Spennymoor Town sit 17th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5South Shields43105210
17Spennymoor Town4112494

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Spennymoor Town vs South Shields?
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Spennymoor Town.
Where and when is Spennymoor Town vs South Shields played?
Spennymoor Town vs South Shields is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Brewery Field, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Spennymoor Town and South Shields

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