Southport vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Southport vs Macclesfield?
Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,820).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bedford Town(home) | 4-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 2-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hebburn Town(away) | 1-3 | National League - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Macclesfield win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Macclesfield 2-1 Southport | National League - North |
| Aug 19, 2025 | Southport 1-2 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Apr 4, 2017 | Southport 1-2 Macclesfield | National League |
| Aug 16, 2016 | Macclesfield 3-1 Southport | National League |
| Dec 5, 2015 | Southport 3-1 Macclesfield | National League |
| Aug 11, 2015 | Macclesfield 0-0 Southport | National League |
Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Southport on Apr 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southport | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Southport | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Southport vs Macclesfield?
- The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Southport.
- Where and when is Southport vs Macclesfield played?
- Southport vs Macclesfield is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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