Match

Southport vs Macclesfield: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The BIG HELP Stadium, Southport, Merseyside

SouthportMacclesfield

The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Southport. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Southport vs Macclesfield?

Macclesfield starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (1,932 vs 1,820).

Southport win32 %
Draw25 %
Macclesfield win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Southport have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Macclesfield have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Southport
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Bedford Town(home)4-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Hednesford Town(away)2-2National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Buxton(home)1-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Hebburn Town(away)1-3National League - North
Jul 31, 2026Wigan(home)0-0Friendlies Clubs
Macclesfield
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Brackley Town(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 18, 2026Spalding United(away)0-0National League - North
Aug 15, 2026Radcliffe(home)2-1National League - North
Aug 8, 2026Marine(away)1-0National League - North
Aug 1, 2026United of Manchester(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Southport win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Macclesfield win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2026Macclesfield 2-1 SouthportNational League - North
Aug 19, 2025Southport 1-2 MacclesfieldNational League - North
Apr 4, 2017Southport 1-2 MacclesfieldNational League
Aug 16, 2016Macclesfield 3-1 SouthportNational League
Dec 5, 2015Southport 3-1 MacclesfieldNational League
Aug 11, 2015Macclesfield 0-0 SouthportNational League

Last archived meeting: Macclesfield vs Southport on Apr 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Southport score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Southport1.51.5310/1510/15
Macclesfield1.41.239/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Southport sit 11th in National League - North (5 points from 4 matches) and Macclesfield sit 4th (10 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Macclesfield43105210
11Southport4121875

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Southport vs Macclesfield?
The Footlab model makes Macclesfield the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Southport.
Where and when is Southport vs Macclesfield played?
Southport vs Macclesfield is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The BIG HELP Stadium, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Southport and Macclesfield

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