Morecambe vs Darlington 1883: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 14Kick-off on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Mazuma Stadium, Morecambe, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Darlington 1883. The most likely score is 1-1. If Morecambe wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,586 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Morecambe (1,860) and Darlington 1883 (1,853).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Morecambe
Not enough data to predict the Morecambe lineup.
Darlington 1883
Not enough data to predict the Darlington 1883 lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 01:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Morecambe have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Darlington 1883 have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Merthyr Town(away) | 3-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Worksop Town(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 3-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Oct 17, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 0-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Morecambe win, 0 draws, 0 Darlington 1883 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morecambe 3-0 Darlington 1883 | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 on Oct 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Morecambe score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Darlington 1883 score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morecambe | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Darlington 1883 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Morecambe sit 11th in National League - North (17 points from 12 matches) and Darlington 1883 sit 22nd (11 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 12 | 17 |
| 22 | Darlington 1883 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | 11 |
A question about Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Morecambe vs Darlington 1883?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morecambe the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Darlington 1883.
- Where and when is Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 played?
- Morecambe vs Darlington 1883 is played on October 27, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Mazuma Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 27, 2026SouthportvsMacclesfield
- Oct 27, 2026Oxford CityvsMerthyr Town
- Oct 27, 2026HerefordvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 27, 2026Spennymoor TownvsSouth Shields
- Oct 27, 2026Worksop TownvsKing's Lynn Town
- Oct 27, 2026Bedford TownvsHednesford Town