Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Hadera: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Hadera?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Hapoel Hadera (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Hadera have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Hadera?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Hadera the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 37% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Hadera played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Hadera is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel AzorvsKfar Saba 1928
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsNordia Jerusalem
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 19, 2026DimonavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Marmorek
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Dec 19, 2026FC JerusalemvsHolon Yermiyahu