Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hapoel Sderot wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,647) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,630).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hapoel Sderot
Not enough data to predict the Hapoel Sderot lineup.
Maccabi Ashdod
Not enough data to predict the Maccabi Ashdod lineup.
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Ironi Beit Shemesh(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-3 | State Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 5-0 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 4-0 | Liga Alef |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 3-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Sderot score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Sderot | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
A question about Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ashdod.
- Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on December 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel AzorvsKfar Saba 1928
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsNordia Jerusalem
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 19, 2026DimonavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Marmorek
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Dec 19, 2026FC JerusalemvsHolon Yermiyahu