Match

Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 16Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Holon Municipal Stadium, Holon

Holon YermiyahuBeitar Yavne

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Holon Yermiyahu (1,655) and Beitar Yavne (1,610).

Holon Yermiyahu win38 %
Draw26 %
Beitar Yavne win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holon Yermiyahu have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Beitar Yavne have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef
Beitar Yavne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 29, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Holon Yermiyahu win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Beitar Yavne win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 13, 2026Holon Yermiyahu 1-0 Beitar YavneLiga Alef
Oct 9, 2025Beitar Yavne 0-4 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne on Feb 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15
Beitar Yavne1.41.447/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th in Liga Alef (24 points from 22 matches) and Beitar Yavne sit 8th (30 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Beitar Yavne229310273430
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Beitar Yavne.
Where and when is Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne played?
Holon Yermiyahu vs Beitar Yavne is played on December 26, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Holon Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Holon Yermiyahu and Beitar Yavne

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