Match

FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem

FC JerusalemHolon Yermiyahu

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,735) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).

FC Jerusalem win48 %
Draw24 %
Holon Yermiyahu win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Dimona(home)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Nordia Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)5-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-2Liga Alef
Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FC Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 6, 2026Holon Yermiyahu 3-3 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Mar 7, 2025FC Jerusalem 2-0 Holon YermiyahuLiga Alef
Nov 1, 2024Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 FC JerusalemLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem on Jan 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Jerusalem2.11.339/1510/15
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Jerusalem221147452937
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu.
Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Jerusalem and Holon Yermiyahu

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