FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,735) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 FC Jerusalem win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Holon Yermiyahu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu 3-3 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Mar 7, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 2-0 Holon Yermiyahu | Liga Alef |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Holon Yermiyahu 0-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Holon Yermiyahu vs FC Jerusalem on Jan 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Holon Yermiyahu sit 11th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Holon Yermiyahu.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel AzorvsKfar Saba 1928
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsNordia Jerusalem
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 19, 2026DimonavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Dec 19, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsHapoel Marmorek
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Ramat HaSharon