Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Marmorek the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Hapoel Herzliya (1,620) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 2-4 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-0 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Apr 9, 2024 | Hapoel Herzliya 0-1 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Jan 19, 2024 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-2 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Marmorek the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel AzorvsKfar Saba 1928
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsNordia Jerusalem
- Dec 18, 2026Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Ashdod
- Dec 18, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsMaccabi Yavne
- Dec 19, 2026DimonavsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Dec 19, 2026Beitar YavnevsHapoel Hadera
- Dec 19, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Dec 19, 2026FC JerusalemvsHolon Yermiyahu