Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Beitar Yavne (1,610) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Yavne have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Beitar Yavne win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne 0-2 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-3 Beitar Yavne | Liga Alef |
| Oct 4, 2021 | Hapoel Marmorek 3-1 Beitar Yavne | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek on Feb 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Beitar Yavne sit 8th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Marmorek sit 12th (24 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Yavne the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Beitar Yavne vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 1, 2027DimonavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel AzorvsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 1, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 2, 2027FC JerusalemvsShimshon Tel Aviv