FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Shimshon Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,735) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(home) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Jerusalem win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 13, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 1-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Shimshon Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 1, 2027DimonavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel AzorvsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 1, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 2, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Marmorek