FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Har Huma synthetic, Jerusalem
The Footlab AI model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC Jerusalem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shimshon Tel Aviv wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate FC Jerusalem (1,672) and Shimshon Tel Aviv (1,694).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
FC Jerusalem
Not enough data to predict the FC Jerusalem lineup.
Shimshon Tel Aviv
Not enough data to predict the Shimshon Tel Aviv lineup.
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Jerusalem have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Shimshon Tel Aviv have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Hapoel Sderot(home) | 0-5 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda(away) | 2-4 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(away) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 FC Jerusalem wins, 1 draw, 2 Shimshon Tel Aviv wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Apr 8, 2025 | Shimshon Tel Aviv 1-0 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Dec 13, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 1-1 Shimshon Tel Aviv | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Shimshon Tel Aviv vs FC Jerusalem on Nov 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FC Jerusalem score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shimshon Tel Aviv score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Jerusalem | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Jerusalem sit 2nd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Shimshon Tel Aviv sit 7th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 7 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 28 | 30 |
A question about FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shimshon Tel Aviv the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC Jerusalem.
- Where and when is FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv played?
- FC Jerusalem vs Shimshon Tel Aviv is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Har Huma synthetic, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 1, 2027DimonavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel AzorvsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 1, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 2, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Marmorek