Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne played?

Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Hapoel Sderot

Maccabi Yavne

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne?

Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 106-point Elo edge (1,760 vs 1,653).

Hapoel Sderot win34 %

Draw26 %

Maccabi Yavne win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Maccabi Yavne have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Sderot
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Dec 27, 2025	Hapoel Beer Sheva(away)	1-2	State Cup
Oct 29, 2025	Hapoel Hadera(away)	4-3	State Cup
Sep 30, 2025	Araba(home)	2-1	State Cup
Oct 2, 2018	Maccabi Yavne(home)	0-4	State Cup

Maccabi Yavne
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Feb 27, 2026	Kfar Saba 1928(away)	4-2	Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026	Holon Yermiyahu(home)	1-1	Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026	Shimshon Tel Aviv(home)	2-1	Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026	Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away)	1-2	Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026	Dimona(home)	4-1	Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Sderot win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Maccabi Yavne win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Oct 2, 2018	Hapoel Sderot 0-4 Maccabi Yavne	State Cup

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne on Oct 2, 2018

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hapoel Sderot	1.8	2.5	0	3/4	4/4
Maccabi Yavne	2.2	1.1	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Maccabi Yavne	22	10	6	6	42	28	36

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne?: The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Sderot.
Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne played?: Hapoel Sderot vs Maccabi Yavne is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.