Match

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Hapoel Mahane YehudaTzeirey Tira

The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira?

Tzeirey Tira starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,691 vs 1,562).

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win27 %
Draw26 %
Tzeirey Tira win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Tzeirey Tira have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)1-5State Cup
Nov 11, 2024Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)0-1State Cup
Oct 8, 2024Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)2-1State Cup
Sep 24, 2024Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)3-1State Cup
Sep 6, 2024Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)4-2State Cup
Tzeirey Tira
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 19, 2026Dimona(away)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Nordia Jerusalem(home)5-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(away)3-0Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(home)1-0Liga Alef
Jan 23, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tzeirey Tira win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2022Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-1 Tzeirey TiraState Cup

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira on Aug 30, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Tzeirey Tira score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1.71.928/1510/15
Tzeirey Tira1.70.975/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Tzeirey Tira211038332433

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira?
The Footlab model makes Tzeirey Tira the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda.
Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira played?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Tzeirey Tira is played on January 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and Tzeirey Tira

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