Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Dimona Municipal Stadium, Dimona
The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Dimona (1,722) and Maccabi Ashdod (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dimona have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Ashdod have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-4 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(away) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat HaSharon(away) | 3-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dimona win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Maccabi Ashdod win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | Dimona 2-1 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Dimona 1-0 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-0 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| May 3, 2024 | Dimona 1-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Maccabi Ashdod 0-2 Dimona | Liga Alef |
| Jan 13, 2023 | Dimona 1-2 Maccabi Ashdod | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod on Dec 31, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Dimona score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Ashdod score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dimona | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Maccabi Ashdod | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dimona sit 3rd in Liga Alef (37 points from 22 matches) and Maccabi Ashdod sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Dimona | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | Maccabi Ashdod | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 35 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Dimona the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Maccabi Ashdod.
- Where and when is Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod played?
- Dimona vs Maccabi Ashdod is played on January 1, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Dimona Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel AzorvsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 1, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HaderavsHolon Yermiyahu
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 2, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 2, 2027FC JerusalemvsShimshon Tel Aviv