Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-6 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Hapoel Acre(away) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 14, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(home) | 3-3 | Liga Leumit |
| May 8, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 5, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(away) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Hadera | 1.1 | 2.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Holon Yermiyahu | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Holon Yermiyahu | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 33 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu?
- The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Hadera.
- Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
- Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 1, 2027DimonavsMaccabi Ashdod
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel AzorvsNordia Jerusalem
- Jan 1, 2027Hapoel Mahane YehudavsTzeirey Tira
- Jan 1, 2027Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel HerzliyavsKfar Saba 1928
- Jan 2, 2027Hapoel SderotvsMaccabi Yavne
- Jan 2, 2027Beitar YavnevsHapoel Marmorek
- Jan 2, 2027FC JerusalemvsShimshon Tel Aviv