Match

Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 17Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya

Hapoel HaderaHolon Yermiyahu

The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Hadera. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Hapoel Hadera (1,628) and Holon Yermiyahu (1,655).

Hapoel Hadera win34 %
Draw26 %
Holon Yermiyahu win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Hadera have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Holon Yermiyahu have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Hadera
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-6Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Hapoel Acre(away)0-0Liga Leumit
May 14, 2026Hapoel Ra'anana(home)3-3Liga Leumit
May 8, 2026Hapoel Afula(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 5, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)1-0Liga Leumit
Holon Yermiyahu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Maccabi Yavne(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Beitar Yavne(home)1-0Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Shimshon Tel Aviv(away)0-2Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-2Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Hadera score 1.1 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Holon Yermiyahu score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Hadera1.12.2210/1510/15
Holon Yermiyahu1.31.549/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Holon Yermiyahu226610303324

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu?
The Footlab model makes Holon Yermiyahu the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Hadera.
Where and when is Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu played?
Hapoel Hadera vs Holon Yermiyahu is played on January 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Hadera and Holon Yermiyahu

Ready to know everything about football?