Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 5Kick-off on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Yavne Municipal Stadium, Yavne
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne?
Maccabi Yavne starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Yavne have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Beitar Yavne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Kfar Saba 1928(away) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Shimshon Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Gat(away) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Maccabi Yavne win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Beitar Yavne win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2026 | Maccabi Yavne 2-2 Beitar Yavne | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne on Jan 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Yavne score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Yavne | 2.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Yavne sit 4th in Liga Alef (36 points from 22 matches) and Beitar Yavne sit 8th (30 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Maccabi Yavne | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 28 | 36 |
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Yavne the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne played?
- Maccabi Yavne vs Beitar Yavne is played on September 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Yavne Municipal Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsDimona
- Sep 30, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHapoel Azor
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Sep 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHapoel Herzliya
- Sep 30, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Hadera
- Sep 30, 2026Shimshon Tel AvivvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Sep 30, 2026Tzeirey TiravsFC Jerusalem
- Sep 30, 2026Kfar Saba 1928vsHapoel Marmorek