Belgium vs Croatia: result 1-0 and analysis
FriendliesFriendlies 1Kick-off on June 6, 2021 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
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What was the result of Belgium vs Croatia?
Belgium won 1-0 on June 6, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 38′R. LukakuBelgium
Official lineup for Belgium vs Croatia
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Belgium
3-4-3- 9R. Lukaku
- 8Y. Tielemans
- 11Y. Carrasco
- 14D. Mertens
- 22N. Chadli
- 18J. Denayer
- 21T. Castagne
- 19L. Dendoncker
- 2T. Alderweireld
- 5J. Vertonghen
- 1T. Courtois
Croatia
4-3-3- 20B. Petković
- 17A. Rebić
- 8M. Kovačić
- 11M. Brozović
- 4I. Perišić
- 10L. Modrić
- 3B. Barišić
- 5D. Ćaleta-Car
- 2Šime Vrsaljko
- 21D. Vida
- 1D. Livaković
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Croatia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 3, 2021 | Greece(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Belarus(home) | 8-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Czechia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Wales(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Denmark(home) | 4-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2021 | Armenia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Malta(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 27, 2021 | Cyprus(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Slovenia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 17, 2020 | Portugal(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 2.9 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Belgium vs Croatia?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy