Belgium vs Ukraine: result 3-0 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeaguePlay-offs A/BKick-off on March 23, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
Full time
What was the result of Belgium vs Ukraine?
Belgium won 3-0 on March 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 70′M. De CuyperBelgium
- 75′R. LukakuBelgium
- 86′R. LukakuBelgium
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ukraine have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Ukraine(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Israel(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Belgium(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Albania(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Georgia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Czechia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Georgia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Belgium win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ukraine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | Ukraine 3-1 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Ukraine 0-0 Belgium | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ukraine score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Ukraine | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy