Ukraine vs Belgium: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeaguePlay-offs A/BKick-off on March 20, 2025 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
Full time
What was the result of Ukraine vs Belgium?
Ukraine won 3-1 on March 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′R. LukakuBelgium
- 66′O. GutsulyakUkraine
- 73′V. VanatUkraine
- 78′I. ZabarnyiUkraine
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ukraine have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Belgium have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | Albania(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Georgia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Czechia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Georgia(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 10, 2024 | Czechia(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | Israel(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | France(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 10, 2024 | Italy(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 9, 2024 | France(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ukraine win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Belgium win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2024 | Ukraine 0-0 Belgium | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Ukraine score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Belgium score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Belgium | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy