Belgium vs Wales: result 4-3 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification EuropeGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on June 9, 2025 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Full time
What was the result of Belgium vs Wales?
Belgium won 4-3 on June 9, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 15′R. LukakuBelgium (pen.)
- 19′Y. TielemansBelgium
- 27′J. DokuBelgium
- 45′H. WilsonWales (pen.)
- 51′S. ThomasWales
- 69′B. JohnsonWales
- 88′K. De BruyneBelgium
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgium have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Wales have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Ukraine(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Ukraine(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Israel(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 14, 2024 | Italy(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2025 | Liechtenstein(home) | 3-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2025 | FYR Macedonia(away) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Kazakhstan(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Iceland(home) | 4-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Türkiye(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Belgium win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Wales win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2022 | Belgium 2-1 Wales | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Wales 1-1 Belgium | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2021 | Wales 1-1 Belgium | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 24, 2021 | Belgium 3-1 Wales | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jul 1, 2016 | Wales 3-1 Belgium | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Belgium score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Wales score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | 1.2 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Wales | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgium sit 1st in World Cup - Qualification Europe (18 points from 8 matches) and Wales sit 2nd (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 16 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy