Belgrano Zarate vs Everton La Plata: prediction and stats
Torneo Promocional AmateurRegular Season - 17Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Vallejos, Zárate, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Belgrano Zarate the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Everton La Plata. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Belgrano Zarate vs Everton La Plata?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Belgrano Zarate (1,615) and Everton La Plata (1,606).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Belgrano Zarate have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Everton La Plata have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ezeiza(away) | 1-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Barrancas UMET(home) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(away) | 2-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Control Orientado(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Uribelarrea(away) | 1-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uribelarrea(home) | 0-3 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alumni Los Hornos(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Las Mandarinas(home) | 0-1 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ezeiza(away) | 0-0 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Buenos Aires City(away) | 1-2 | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Belgrano Zarate win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Everton La Plata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Everton La Plata 0-1 Belgrano Zarate | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Belgrano Zarate 1-1 Everton La Plata | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Everton La Plata 2-0 Belgrano Zarate | Torneo Promocional Amateur |
Last archived meeting: Everton La Plata vs Belgrano Zarate on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Belgrano Zarate score 0.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Everton La Plata score 0.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgrano Zarate | 0.7 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Everton La Plata | 0.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Belgrano Zarate sit 9th in Torneo Promocional Amateur (18 points from 14 matches) and Everton La Plata sit 14th (10 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Everton La Plata | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 7 | Belgrano Zarate | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Belgrano Zarate | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 14 | Everton La Plata | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Belgrano Zarate vs Everton La Plata?
- The Footlab model makes Belgrano Zarate the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Everton La Plata.
- Where and when is Belgrano Zarate vs Everton La Plata played?
- Belgrano Zarate vs Everton La Plata is played on September 12, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Vallejos, in the Torneo Promocional Amateur.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.